Forex volatility: How to navigate the ups and downs

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The forex market brings positive returns on good days because of the quick turns it takes. However, the market can also take a wrong turn, bringing almost nothing to a trader.

Things often take a turn because forex is highly volatile—the price of one currency against the other keeps changing. Volatility implies that the value of each currency does not have a definite price for long, making it harder to make a winning bet.

Currencies often change periodically because of political and economic issues in a state that change within a short time. The further forex pairs deviate from the average; the greater the chances financial analysts in the sector will describe it as a highly volatile commodity.

Greater volatility implies that while a great possibility exists to get significant gains when making a bet, it is also possible to lose everything after a trading session. In trading terms, fluctuations of over 50 to about 100 pips imply greater volatility than fluctuations, which are less than ten pips.

Navigating the risky areas of forex trading

Even with the perfect strategy in hand while in the trading room, bets going into the wrong territories happen more often than expected. However, volatile markets have their pros. Greater volatility provides an opportunity for significant gains should a trader make the right call.

The first step to knowing the areas to avoid while forex trading is to understand the level of risk involved. Potential profits can lure anyone into trading risky assets, but knowing what can happen in a split second when markets take the opposite turn can help ease the negative emotions associated with failure. Here are two points to help manoeuvre the downs of the forex market.

Having knowledge of working forex indicators

Since the forex market has existed for a while, many indicators have come up to help beat the markets. However, using trading indicators does not guarantee wins when forex trading.

The indicators provide support and resistance points that set the pace in knowing market movements. Knowing the currency movements is imperative in determining the lowest points that a trader can comfortably take should the market take the opposite turn.

Some indicators to help navigate the forex market include the Bollinger bands that provide critical information on the situation of a currency. An overbought or oversold currency is a recipe for a reversal to come soon, though that does not always happen.

Sometimes, traders might need the help of oscillators to help determine the point of a reversal to make their moves. Indicators highlight the complexities needed to crack the forex market, and smart traders do not use lucky guesses to take a position in the markets.

Knowing the political and economic situations of the main trading currencies

Currencies and stocks often respond to economic, and political decisions made by political players. Stable currencies are associated with political stability and sound economic policies. In addition, the ability of a single country to maintain a relatively stable political climate implies that the currency might have strong movements against another from a less stable regime.

For example, Western European currencies often have substantial movements when paired with places with less stable political climates.

However, economic policies such as devaluation also play a critical role in determining the final value of a currency. Countries taking aggressive steps to devalue their currency for trade will deliberately lead to market movements affecting forex traders.

Central banks have the power to determine rates within a state, especially when inflation is spiralling out of control.

Higher interest rates favour a strong currency because of the heightened shift towards government securities that offer better returns when interest rates are higher. In the forex market, reactions, whether negative or positive, often follow the periodic meetings made by central bank officials. If positive sentiments come out of the meetings, the markets will react favourably.

Bottom line

The currency markets are a mirror of the political and economic decisions taken by a state. Traders must know the political and economic situation plaguing the world and have critical knowledge of the best trading indicators to know the support and resistance points. Knowledge of the two is imperative in dealing with the downs of the forex market.

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